回测和实盘差距最大的是哪一步? - V2EX
matters

回测和实盘差距最大的是哪一步?

  •  
  •   matters 7 days ago 459 views

    前段时间做的两件事:

    最近重新梳理整套流程(数据清洗 → 因子构建 → 回测 → 模拟盘)的时候,又越来越明显地感觉到:

    很多东西在回测里看起来还行,一到实盘就开始“变形”。

    目前自己踩到的一些坑比如:

    • 成交价和假设偏差(实际滑点明显比预期大)
    • 因子在不同时间段稳定性差异很大
    • 调参过程中不知不觉开始过拟合
    • 回测里能成交,实盘流动性其实不太够

    想问下各位做量化的 v 友:

    你最容易导致回测失真的环节一般在哪?比如:

    • 滑点/手续费低估
    • 数据有未来函数
    • 流动性假设不成立
    • 调参过度
    • 因子只在某个阶段有效
    • 回测撮合机制太理想化

    有什么特别有效的解决方案么?

    1 replies    2026-05-12 22:19:08 +08:00
    KeinHong
        1
    KeinHong  
       1 day ago
    「数据有未来函数」这个很容易造成大偏差呢
    About     Help     Advertise     Blog     API     FAQ     Solana     3953 Online   Highest 6679       Select Language
    创意工作者们的社区
    World is powered by solitude
    VERSION: 3.9.8.5 29ms UTC 05:05 PVG 13:05 LAX 22:05 JFK 01:05
    Do have faith in what you're doing.
    ubao msn snddm index pchome yahoo rakuten mypaper meadowduck bidyahoo youbao zxmzxm asda bnvcg cvbfg dfscv mmhjk xxddc yybgb zznbn ccubao uaitu acv GXCV ET GDG YH FG BCVB FJFH CBRE CBC GDG ET54 WRWR RWER WREW WRWER RWER SDG EW SF DSFSF fbbs ubao fhd dfg ewr dg df ewwr ewwr et ruyut utut dfg fgd gdfgt etg dfgt dfgd ert4 gd fgg wr 235 wer3 we vsdf sdf gdf ert xcv sdf rwer hfd dfg cvb rwf afb dfh jgh bmn lgh rty gfds cxv xcv xcs vdas fdf fgd cv sdf tert sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf shasha9178 shasha9178 shasha9178 shasha9178 shasha9178 liflif2 liflif2 liflif2 liflif2 liflif2 liblib3 liblib3 liblib3 liblib3 liblib3 zhazha444 zhazha444 zhazha444 zhazha444 zhazha444 dende5 dende denden denden2 denden21 fenfen9 fenf619 fen619 fenfe9 fe619 sdf sdf sdf sdf sdf zhazh90 zhazh0 zhaa50 zha90 zh590 zho zhoz zhozh zhozho zhozho2 lislis lls95 lili95 lils5 liss9 sdf0ty987 sdft876 sdft9876 sdf09876 sd0t9876 sdf0ty98 sdf0976 sdf0ty986 sdf0ty96 sdf0t76 sdf0876 df0ty98 sf0t876 sd0ty76 sdy76 sdf76 sdf0t76 sdf0ty9 sdf0ty98 sdf0ty987 sdf0ty98 sdf6676 sdf876 sd876 sd876 sdf6 sdf6 sdf9876 sdf0t sdf06 sdf0ty9776 sdf0ty9776 sdf0ty76 sdf8876 sdf0t sd6 sdf06 s688876 sd688 sdf86